Re: forwarded post form progressive sociologists network

Eugene A. Berkery (eberkery@NMSU.EDU)
Sun, 19 Jun 1994 21:46:34 -0600

> Subj: PART I: HIDDEN ATTRACTORS IN NONLINEAR SOCIAL DYNAMICS
>
> THERE IS NEW RESEARCH REPORTED WHICH SHOULD BE OF CONSIDERABLE INTEREST TO
> THOSE IN SOC/MED, SOC PROBS, METHODOLOGY AND POSTMODERN PHIL/SCI. A REEARCH
> TEAM LEAD BY DR. PATRICIA HAMILTON, TEXAS WOMAN'S UNIVERSITY, REPORTS THE
> SUCCESSFUL USE OF NEW ANALYTIC PROCEDURES FROM MATH AND PHYSICS IN THE
> DISCOVERY OF A HIDDEN ATTRACTOR IN A VERY LARGE DATA SET. USING TECHNIQUES
> WHICH ASSUME LINEARITY, TIMES SERIES DISPLAYS APPEAR TO BE VERY ERRATIC
> AND CAUSALITY LOOSE OR MISSING. USING SPECTRAL DENSITY ANALYSIS, SINGULAR
> VALUE DECOMPOSITION THE TEAM FOUND TWO DISTINCT PATTERNS IN THE PERIODS OF
> DATA ABOUT TEENAGE PREGNANCIES. ONE CYCLE WAS PRODUCED BY FOUR FACTORS;
> A SECOND, LONGER CYCLE BY 7 FACTORS.

I just can't wait for part II